Friday, April 26, 2013

2013 Supercross | SLC | 250SX & 450SX Predictions

Photo: supercross.com
I've been waiting for a mud race all season and Seattle delivered.  Of course I have an unusual obsession with dirt and mix in some Dunlop Geomax tires and I'm in heaven.  So riders seem to struggle in the mud and some will complain but nothing beats a mud race.

Weather is always the great equalizer but that didn't seem to bother Red Bull KTM's Ken Roczen.  I predicted a KTM sweep in the 250 class last week and I'm one step closer to getting this one right.  Points are tight for both East and West KTM riders that any mistake could be the difference between 1st and 2nd although Roczen seems to have the momentum - this class will undoubtedly be settled in Vegas.  Our boy from Colorado, Eli Tomac, put on a show as always.  He has to be the most charismatic of the bunch on a motorcycle.  Sometimes it seems like his mind moves faster than his bike and inevitably finds himself on the ground but he's a proven champion and when he finds that delicate balance he's unstoppable.

In the premier class Justin Barcia may have just stepped into Kevin Windham's shoes as the best mud racer in the class.  It is his rookie year so perhaps I'm getting a little ahead of myself but at Seattle I saw a guy who is not afraid of attacking a muddy track and that can be a game changer in such a long series.  I can't say I was too surprised with the top 5 and with Stewart, Goerke and Alessi out for the remainder of the season there are a couple of spots in the top 10 for the taking; Josh Hill, you feel me?

Ryan Villopoto put on another clinic but came up a bit short in the end.  He's still a lock for his 3rd title but anything can happen.  Dungey struggled but managed to keep the points tight and Davi Millsaps had to settle for bronze.  "The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself."  Not sure how many more opportunities Davi has with such a talented field of riders, his battles may just end his war.

This week the boys make a stop in Salt Lake City.  There will be many variables to contend with in SLC, not the least of which is the unpredictable weather; should be delightful.  For my little experiment here, race day scratches are always tough to deal with but what can you do?  Next season I'll adjust for that but till then it's business as usual.

450 Class

1.Ryan Villopoto (- 1)
2.Ryan Dungey (+ 1)
3.Davi Millsaps (- 1)
4.Chad Reed (- 1)
5.Justin Barcia (+ 1)
6.Trey Canard (- 1)
7.Andrew Short (+ 1)
8.Broc Tickle (+ 1)
9.Josh Hill (+ 1)
10.Weston Peick (- 1)

250 Class

1.Eli Tomac (- 1)
2.Ken Roczen (+ 1)
3.Jason Anderson (- 1)
4.Cole Seely (+ 1)
5.Zach Osborne (+ 1)
6.Tyla Rattray (- 1)
7.Martin Davalos (+ 1)
8.Kyle Cunningham (+ 1)
9.Joey Savatgy (- 1)
10.Malcolm Stewart (+ 1)

Looks like a bright sunny weekend in store for us here in Boulder County; time to take the YZ out for some roost'r tails - woohoo!!

The Roost'r

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