Saturday, February 8, 2014

2014 Supercross | San Diego Predictions



Photo: racerxonline.com
It was a good day and an absolutely horrible day for the color orange last weekend.  The Denver Broncos couldn’t do with it what Kenny Roczen did but neither would be the same without the mighty orange.  It’ll take a while for Broncos fans to get over this one but the KTM rider is picking up right where he left off; not so for his teammate Ryan Dungey.

But of course the day belonged to Chad Reed.  For the second time this season Reed has defied the odds.  I was reluctant to hand the ball to Millsaps last year bet he thrived until injuries tripped him up.  This year I won’t make that same mistake.  Reed is the real deal as long as he keeps everyone close.  The field will make coming from behind very difficult, just as Jake Weimer, who by the way had an outstanding ride last weekend.  Will Reed back it up with another great performance?  He’s had some great rides at San Diego so it’ll be hard to bet against him this week.  As for Eli Tomac, perhaps he came back too early; I guess we’ll see how he holds up this week.  It’s probably safe to say that his chances for a title are all but over if he has a bad showing this week.

In the 250 class we saw the Pro Circuit team finally get a win.  Wilson should have taken the checkered flag last weekend and the blame should land squarely with the wrenches.  I gave Anderson the highest score last week but Wilson was not far behind.  I believe Anderson has the edge over most of the field at this point but I can see some newcomers making moves, notably Justin Hill, Cooper Webb and Shane McElrath.  One rider in particular that I think deserves a little recognition is the Frenchman Jean Marrone.  He didn’t have a great finish but his effort during the race was admirable.  Not the best rider out of Paris, that honor would go to Valentin Teillet, but Marrone did the most from his position last weekend.  Dakota Tedder is another rider flying just under the radar with his first top 10 of the season.  Not a particularly great performance but it was enough to place him alongside the best in the world.

My record last weekend was only outdone by the Broncos performance at Super Bowl XLVIII.  I had ZERO calls right, even with the handicap, in the 450 class.  I did better in the 250 class and actually improved my ratios.  The weekend is one I’d just like to forget.  “He who fears being conquered is sure of defeat” so I move on.  San Diego ready for kickoff…

450SX (+/- handicap)

1. Stewart (-1)
2. Villopoto (+1)
3. Reed (+1)
4. Roczen (-1)
5. Brayton (-1)
6. Barcia (+1)
7. Dungey (-1)
8. Peick (-1)
9. Short (-1)
10. Goerke (-1)

250SX (+/- handicap)

1. Anderson (-1)
2. Wilson (-1)
3. Seely (-1)
4. Webb (+1)
5. Hill (-1)
6. Stewart (-1)
7. Nelson (-1)
8. McElrath (-1)
9. Ferris (-1)
10. Canada (-1) 


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